Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001775 0.001886 0.002001 0.002129 0.002268 0.002413 0.002578
2025-03-23 0.001600 0.001754 0.001920 0.002112 0.002330 0.002570 0.002854
2025-03-30 0.001480 0.001662 0.001864 0.002105 0.002388 0.002710 0.003107
2025-04-06 0.001375 0.001573 0.001799 0.002075 0.002408 0.002799 0.003298
2025-04-13 0.001286 0.001495 0.001736 0.002040 0.002414 0.002866 0.003457
2025-04-20 0.001190 0.001401 0.001649 0.001967 0.002366 0.002858 0.003520
2025-04-27 0.001152 0.001374 0.001640 0.001986 0.002431 0.002992 0.003765
2025-05-04 0.001129 0.001364 0.001649 0.002028 0.002524 0.003164 0.004068
2025-05-11 0.001117 0.001365 0.001672 0.002087 0.002641 0.003370 0.004429
2025-05-18 0.001088 0.001343 0.001664 0.002103 0.002700 0.003502 0.004693
2025-05-25 0.001039 0.001293 0.001616 0.002064 0.002682 0.003526 0.004802
2025-06-01 0.001000 0.001256 0.001583 0.002042 0.002686 0.003578 0.004954
2025-06-08 0.000967 0.001226 0.001562 0.002042 0.002725 0.003691 0.005218
2025-06-15 0.000928 0.001187 0.001528 0.002020 0.002733 0.003761 0.005422
2025-06-22 0.000896 0.001157 0.001504 0.002012 0.002759 0.003858 0.005673
2025-06-29 0.000860 0.001119 0.001467 0.001983 0.002753 0.003905 0.005847
2025-07-06 0.000825 0.001081 0.001428 0.001949 0.002738 0.003936 0.005996
2025-07-13 0.000780 0.001028 0.001367 0.001880 0.002665 0.003871 0.005980
2025-07-20 0.000766 0.001018 0.001366 0.001899 0.002726 0.004022 0.006341
2025-07-27 0.000760 0.001017 0.001378 0.001938 0.002822 0.004234 0.006823
2025-08-03 0.000758 0.001024 0.001400 0.001994 0.002946 0.004499 0.007423
2025-08-10 0.000745 0.001013 0.001397 0.002009 0.003005 0.004658 0.007841
2025-08-17 0.000718 0.000982 0.001362 0.001972 0.002977 0.004665 0.007971